The Great Middle East War

It seems to me that within about five years there will be a Great Middle East War. Here's how things will be arranged to prepare for this war.

1. Iraq

The Status of Forces Agreement between the United States of America and Iraq expires in 2011. If Iraq refuses to renew this agreement with a war-weary America, then a withdrawal may be at hand. Iraq can then call on Iranian peacekeepers if American withdrawal strengthens the insurgency.

2. The Palestinian territories

A peace agreement between Israel and the Palestinian Authority is not likely to occur given that the Palestinian Authority refuses to recognize Israel as a Jewish State or renounce the Right of Return (such a renunciation is Israel's goal in demanding recognition as a Jewish State). Palestinian officials have proposed declaring state sovereignty regardless and having the UN intervene to protect Palestine. So perhaps a willing Israel could be "pressured" into handing over control of the Palestinian territories of Gaza and the West Bank over to the United Nations. And then the United Nations could send in a Egyptian-led peacekeeping force into Gaza and a Jordanian-led peacekeeping force into the West Bank. Egypt and Jordan after all have no love towards the Hamas challengers to the authority of the Palestinian Authority given their connections to the Muslim Brotherhood.

3. How It All Comes Together

So with Iranian peacekeepers in Iraq, United Nations peacekeepers in the West Bank and Gaza and Hamas being repressed by the United Nations-protected Palestinian Authority, a call by Hamas for Iranian help against "Fatah traitors" and "sellout tyrants" could lead to Iran occupying Jordan and the West Bank and from there attacking Israel.

Egypt and Saudi Arabia would be unable to stop the Iranians lest they be accused of defending Israel and so Israel would have to fight off a Grand Alliance of Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Iran. And while that does not include the Arabian Peninsula or Arab Africa, it does encompass the rest of the Middle East especially if radicalized Turkey joins in on Iran's side!